0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.1 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 4/game vs a 3.5 league average
+0.7 at this ground — averages 0.7 there (7 gm)
vs them: averages 0.8 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · 0.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Keaonvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
170.4
96
Run Metresfavorable
94
1851.3
Keaon 170.4/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.0
65
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Keaon 2.0/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
31.4
86
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Keaon 31.4/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
26
Triesneutral
75
4.8
Keaon 0.1/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
39
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Keaon 0.1/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
39
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Keaon 0.1/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
72
Offloadsfavorable
88
11.2
Keaon 0.7/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
60.8
97
Post Contact Metresfavorable
94
605.3
Keaon 60.8/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
Keaon170.4
96
GLD1851.3
94
Keaon 170.4/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Keaon2.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Try Assists
4.0per game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Try Assists
At Cbus Super Stadium0.7(7)+0.6
Everywhere else0.1(125)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Try Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)0.1(15)
Dry games0.1(117)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Try Assists
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
-47%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLTom Chester0.10-100%
08-06NQLJaxon Purdue0.51+110%
08-06NQLBraidon Burns0.10-100%
08-06NQLZac Laybutt0.10-100%
08-06NQLMurray Taulagi0.10-100%
08-06NQLJake Clifford0.70-100%
08-06NQLScott Drinkwater0.91+11%
08-06NQLGriffin Neame0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Keaon's. Computed from this app's own records.