3.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 3.3 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 3.6
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 33.5/game vs a 32.8 league average
−0.3 at this ground — averages 3.1 there (30 gm)
vs them: averages 3.0 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲venue ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CBY concede · Tackle Breaks
33.5per game · league avg 32.8
#7 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At Accor Stadium3.1(30)
Everywhere else3.0(57)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)1.7(6)-1.5
Dry games3.1(81)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CBY · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
-0.5
Avg diff %
-20%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07SYDNaufahu Whyte2.92-31%
08-07SYDMark Nawaqanitawase4.11-75%
08-07SYDSiua Wong2.12-2%
08-07SYDSpencer Leniu2.00-100%
08-07SYDBilly Smith3.04+33%
08-07SYDRobert Toia4.58+77%
07-31MELCooper Clarke2.32-13%
07-31MELMoses Leo4.02-50%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Campbell's. Computed from this app's own records.