0.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.8 (21 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 1.1
−0.1 opponent leak — they concede 3.3/game vs a 3.5 league average
vs them: averages 0.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▼projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 21: 4 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Try Assists
3.3per game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Try Assists
At Ocean Protect Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else0.7(27)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Try Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(3)-0.4
Dry games0.8(24)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CRO · Try Assists
Avg diff
+0.1
Avg diff %
+73%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09SGITyrell Sloan0.10-100%
08-09SGILoko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga0.000%
08-09SGIMoses Suli0.30-100%
08-09SGIValentine Holmes0.40-100%
08-09SGILyhkan King-Togia0.11+700%
08-09SGIKyle Flanagan0.31+280%
08-09SGIClinton Gutherson0.30-100%
08-09SGIEmre Guler0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Ethan's. Computed from this app's own records.