0.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.6 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.8
−0.2 opponent leak — they concede 16.2/game vs a 23.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.0 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 7.9°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 0.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Lindsayvs all playersStatWAR concedePer game
98.3
60
Run Metresunfavorable
13
1543.0
Lindsay 98.3/game
WAR concedes 1543.0/game · league avg 1690.9
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.0
39
Tackle Breaksneutral
81
34.4
Lindsay 1.0/game
WAR concedes 34.4/game · league avg 32.7
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
30.0
84
Tacklesfavorable
94
365.4
Lindsay 30.0/game
WAR concedes 365.4/game · league avg 344.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
52
Triesunfavorable
6
2.9
Lindsay 0.1/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
39
Try Assistsunfavorable
6
2.5
Lindsay 0.1/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
38
Line Breaksneutral
44
4.7
Lindsay 0.1/game
WAR concedes 4.7/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
67
Offloadsneutral
63
10.2
Lindsay 0.6/game
WAR concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.8
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
30.9
58
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
13
494.6
Lindsay 30.9/game
WAR concedes 494.6/game · league avg 545.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Lindsay98.3
60
WAR1543.0
13
Lindsay 98.3/game
WAR concedes 1543.0/game · league avg 1690.9
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Lindsay1.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Points
16.2per game · league avg 23.6
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Points
At Go Media Stadium0.0(3)-0.4
Everywhere else0.4(100)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(6)-0.5
Dry games0.5(97)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WAR · Points
Avg diff
-0.8
Avg diff %
-75%
Hit rate
0/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENFreddy Lussick0.80-100%
08-07PENIsaah Yeo0.50-100%
08-07PENIzack Tago0.60-100%
08-07PENMoses Leota0.000%
08-07PENIsaiah Papali'i0.60-100%
08-07PENLiam Martin1.70-100%
08-07PENPaul Alamoti2.10-100%
08-07PENJack Cole0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Lindsay's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry1.5