0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 2.9/game vs a 4.1 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.1 over 10 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 7.9°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 0.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Mosesvs all playersStatWAR concedePer game
104.0
64
Run Metresunfavorable
13
1543.0
Moses 104.0/game
WAR concedes 1543.0/game · league avg 1690.9
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
32
Tackle Breaksneutral
81
34.4
Moses 0.8/game
WAR concedes 34.4/game · league avg 32.7
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
24.0
73
Tacklesfavorable
94
365.4
Moses 24.0/game
WAR concedes 365.4/game · league avg 344.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
6
2.9
Moses 0.0/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
55
Try Assistsunfavorable
6
2.5
Moses 0.1/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
23
Line Breaksunfavorable
44
4.7
Moses 0.1/game
WAR concedes 4.7/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
72
Offloadsfavorable
63
10.2
Moses 0.7/game
WAR concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.8
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
37.8
70
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
13
494.6
Moses 37.8/game
WAR concedes 494.6/game · league avg 545.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Moses104.0
64
WAR1543.0
13
Moses 104.0/game
WAR concedes 1543.0/game · league avg 1690.9
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Moses0.8
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Tries
2.9per game · league avg 4.1
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tries
At Go Media Stadium0.0(3)-0.1
Everywhere else0.1(137)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tries
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(10)-0.1
Dry games0.1(130)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WAR · Tries
Avg diff
-0.2
Avg diff %
-46%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENIzack Tago0.20-100%
08-07PENFreddy Lussick0.20-100%
08-07PENThomas Jenkins1.40-100%
08-07PENPaul Alamoti0.20-100%
08-07PENBrian To'o0.60-100%
08-07PENNathan Cleary0.41+183%
08-07PENJaxen Edgar0.71+50%
08-07PENLindsay Smith0.20-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Moses's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry0.5