2.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 2.4 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 1.6
−0.7 opponent leak — they concede 16.2/game vs a 23.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 2.5 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 8: 12 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · 2.5
Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 7.9°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 0.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Dylanvs all playersStatWAR concedePer game
217.1
100
Run Metresunfavorable
13
1543.0
Dylan 217.1/game
WAR concedes 1543.0/game · league avg 1686.6
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.9
98
Tackle Breaksfavorable
81
34.4
Dylan 4.9/game
WAR concedes 34.4/game · league avg 32.8
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
6.1
22
Tacklesneutral
94
365.4
Dylan 6.1/game
WAR concedes 365.4/game · league avg 344.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
92
Triesunfavorable
6
2.9
Dylan 0.6/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.2
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
89
Try Assistsunfavorable
6
2.5
Dylan 0.5/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
81
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.7
Dylan 0.5/game
WAR concedes 4.7/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
51
Offloadsneutral
69
10.2
Dylan 0.4/game
WAR concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.7
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
56.6
96
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
13
494.6
Dylan 56.6/game
WAR concedes 494.6/game · league avg 544.2
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Dylan217.1
100
WAR1543.0
13
Dylan 217.1/game
WAR concedes 1543.0/game · league avg 1686.6
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Dylan4.9
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Points
16.2per game · league avg 23.7
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Points
At Go Media Stadium4.0(1)+1.7
Everywhere else2.3(128)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)0.5(8)-1.9
Dry games2.4(121)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WAR · Points
Avg diff
-1.4
Avg diff %
-81%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENBlaize Talagi1.10-100%
08-07PENBrian To'o2.40-100%
08-07PENLiam Martin1.70-100%
08-07PENLiam Henry1.10-100%
08-07PENPaul Alamoti2.10-100%
08-07PENJaxen Edgar2.74+50%
08-01GLDJojo Fifita1.60-100%
08-01GLDPhillip Sami2.80-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Dylan's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry1.5