2.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 1.8 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 2.3
−0.1 opponent leak — they concede 31.7/game vs a 32.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 22: 5 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Tackle Breaks
31.7per game · league avg 32.7
#12 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At Suncorp Stadium1.0(3)-0.6
Everywhere else1.6(28)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)0.5(2)-1.1
Dry games1.6(29)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs BRI · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
-0.3
Avg diff %
-27%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLIsaiya Katoa0.60-100%
08-08DOLFrancis Molo0.61+78%
08-08DOLJack Bostock2.53+20%
08-08DOLKodi Nikorima0.90-100%
08-08DOLThomas Flegler1.40-100%
08-08DOLJeremy Marshall-King0.81+20%
08-08DOLJamayne Isaako2.92-31%
08-08DOLConnelly Lemuelu2.12-2%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Tanner's. Computed from this app's own records.