4.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 3.7 (16 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 5.1
−0.8 opponent leak — they concede 26.6/game vs a 32.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 3.8 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 13: 10 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Tackle Breaks
26.6per game · league avg 32.7
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At Allianz Stadium3.7(3)-0.5
Everywhere else4.2(91)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)2.6(8)-1.7
Dry games4.3(86)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SYD · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
-0.9
Avg diff %
-31%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07CBYLachlan Galvin2.43+25%
08-07CBYBronson Xerri2.80-100%
08-07CBYEnari Tuala3.21-69%
08-07CBYJethro Rinakama2.32-13%
08-07CBYConnor Tracey2.83+6%
08-07CBYViliame Kikau2.61-62%
08-07CBYMatt Burton2.72-27%
07-30NQLJason Taumalolo2.32-11%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Jacob's. Computed from this app's own records.