0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (4 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 20.8/game vs a 23.6 league average
+0.0 wet forecast — averages 0 in the wet (8 gm)
vs them: averages 0.0 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsHBF Park · PerthRound 23 · 2026-08-08 13:00☁ 11°C☂ 1.9mm (100%)🌬 15.4 km/hWet ball risk
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Tuivs all playersStatMAN concedePer game
110.5
68
Run Metresunfavorable
31
1625.6
Tui 110.5/game
MAN concedes 1625.6/game · league avg 1690.9
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
11
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
25
31.4
Tui 0.3/game
MAN concedes 31.4/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
15.3
46
Tacklesneutral
63
349.6
Tui 15.3/game
MAN concedes 349.6/game · league avg 344.9
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
19
3.6
Tui 0.0/game
MAN concedes 3.6/game · league avg 4.1
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
19
3.1
Tui 0.0/game
MAN concedes 3.1/game · league avg 3.5
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksunfavorable
19
4.5
Tui 0.0/game
MAN concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsneutral
100
11.6
Tui 0.0/game
MAN concedes 11.6/game · league avg 9.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
44.8
82
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
31
518.9
Tui 44.8/game
MAN concedes 518.9/game · league avg 545.7
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Tui110.5
68
MAN1625.6
31
Tui 110.5/game
MAN concedes 1625.6/game · league avg 1690.9
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Tui0.3
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
MAN concede · Points
20.8per game · league avg 23.6
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Points
At HBF Park—(0)
Everywhere else0.3(109)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(8)-0.3
Dry games0.3(101)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs MAN · Points
Avg diff
+0.0
Avg diff %
-42%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-26CROSiosifa Talakai1.14+260%
07-26CROBriton Nikora0.90-100%
07-26CROAddin Fonua-Blake0.20-100%
07-26CROBilly Burns0.80-100%
07-26CROHohepa Puru0.30-100%
07-26CROBlayke Brailey0.50-100%
07-26CROOregon Kaufusi0.20-100%
07-26CROCameron McInnes0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Tui's. Computed from this app's own records.
