0.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.4 (7 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.3
−0.0 opponent leak — they concede 3.6/game vs a 4.1 league average
vs them: averages 0.7 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsHBF Park · PerthRound 23 · 2026-08-08 13:00☁ 11.5°C☂ 2.1mm (97%)🌬 16.5 km/hWet ball risk
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jonahvs all playersStatMAN concedePer game
31.4
15
Run Metresunfavorable
31
1625.6
Jonah 31.4/game
MAN concedes 1625.6/game · league avg 1690.9
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
6
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
25
31.4
Jonah 0.1/game
MAN concedes 31.4/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
14.7
44
Tacklesneutral
63
349.6
Jonah 14.7/game
MAN concedes 349.6/game · league avg 344.9
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
85
Triesunfavorable
19
3.6
Jonah 0.4/game
MAN concedes 3.6/game · league avg 4.1
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
94
Try Assistsunfavorable
19
3.1
Jonah 0.7/game
MAN concedes 3.1/game · league avg 3.5
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
47
Line Breaksunfavorable
19
4.5
Jonah 0.1/game
MAN concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
75
Offloadsfavorable
100
11.6
Jonah 0.7/game
MAN concedes 11.6/game · league avg 9.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.1
6
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
31
518.9
Jonah 3.1/game
MAN concedes 518.9/game · league avg 545.7
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Jonah31.4
15
MAN1625.6
31
Jonah 31.4/game
MAN concedes 1625.6/game · league avg 1690.9
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Jonah0.1
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
MAN concede · Tries
3.6per game · league avg 4.1
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tries
At HBF Park—(0)
Everywhere else0.2(25)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tries
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games0.2(25)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs MAN · Tries
Avg diff
+0.1
Avg diff %
-8%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-26CROJesse Ramien0.40-100%
07-26CROAddin Fonua-Blake0.10-100%
07-26CROTeig Wilton0.41+143%
07-26CROSione Katoa0.81+30%
07-26CROKL Iro0.71+50%
07-26CROOregon Kaufusi0.10-100%
07-26CROWilliam Kennedy0.51+111%
07-26CROBilly Burns0.20-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Jonah's. Computed from this app's own records.
