1.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 2.0 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 1.3
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 33.5/game vs a 32.8 league average
−0.1 at this ground — averages 1.6 there (22 gm)
vs them: averages 2.3 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲venue ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CBY concede · Tackle Breaks
33.5per game · league avg 32.8
#7 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At Allianz Stadium1.6(22)+0.1
Everywhere else1.6(38)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)1.3(3)-0.3
Dry games1.6(57)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CBY · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
+0.3
Avg diff %
+20%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07SYDSam Walker1.41-28%
08-07SYDSalesi Foketi0.71+43%
08-07SYDHugo Savala1.63+85%
08-07SYDDaly Cherry-Evans0.92+122%
08-07SYDNaufahu Whyte2.92-31%
08-07SYDReece Robson1.52+33%
08-07SYDBilly Smith3.04+33%
08-07SYDVictor Radley1.00-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Siua's. Computed from this app's own records.