0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 29.9/game vs a 23.6 league average
vs them: averages 0.0 over 10 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.1°C☂ 0.5mm (79%)🌬 17.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Tobyvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
85.0
52
Run Metresneutral
100
1925.5
Toby 85.0/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1690.9
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.2
45
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.7
Toby 1.2/game
SGI concedes 30.7/game · league avg 32.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
22.1
67
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Toby 22.1/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.9
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
100
5.2
Toby 0.0/game
SGI concedes 5.2/game · league avg 4.1
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
69
3.9
Toby 0.0/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
33
Line Breaksneutral
81
6.1
Toby 0.1/game
SGI concedes 6.1/game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
59
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Toby 0.5/game
SGI concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.8
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
33.2
62
Post Contact Metresneutral
88
601.3
Toby 33.2/game
SGI concedes 601.3/game · league avg 545.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Toby85.0
52
SGI1925.5
100
Toby 85.0/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1690.9
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Toby1.2
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Points
29.9per game · league avg 23.6
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Points
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else0.2(112)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(7)-0.2
Dry games0.2(105)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SGI · Points
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
0%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31DOLFrancis Molo0.000%
07-31DOLMorgan Knowles0.20-100%
07-31DOLThomas Flegler0.64+600%
07-31DOLJeremy Marshall-King0.70-100%
07-31DOLConnelly Lemuelu0.80-100%
07-31DOLKulikefu Finefeuiaki0.70-100%
07-31DOLKodi Nikorima0.80-100%
07-31DOLIsaiya Katoa0.70-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Toby's. Computed from this app's own records.