1.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 1.5 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 1.8
+0.3 opponent leak — they concede 4.1/game vs a 3.5 league average
+0.4 at this ground — averages 2 there (8 gm)
vs them: averages 0.8 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CBR concede · Try Assists
4.1per game · league avg 3.5
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Try Assists
At Ocean Protect Stadium2.0(8)+1.4
Everywhere else0.6(114)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Try Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(5)-0.7
Dry games0.7(117)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CBR · Try Assists
Avg diff
+0.0
Avg diff %
+11%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09NEWGreg Marzhew0.000%
08-09NEWTrey Mooney0.000%
08-09NEWDominic Young0.21+320%
08-09NEWDane Gagai0.40-100%
08-09NEWFletcher Sharpe0.40-100%
08-09NEWSandon Smith0.61+67%
08-09NEWKalyn Ponga1.010%
08-09NEWJermaine McEwen0.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Braydon's. Computed from this app's own records.