1.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 1.3 (10 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 1.3
+0.2 opponent leak — they concede 6.1/game vs a 5.1 league average
vs them: averages 1.4 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 14: 4 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o1.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (79%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Ronaldovs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
149.4
88
Run Metresfavorable
100
1925.5
Ronaldo 149.4/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1690.9
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.6
80
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.7
Ronaldo 2.6/game
SGI concedes 30.7/game · league avg 32.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.7
16
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Ronaldo 4.7/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.9
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.0
99
Triesfavorable
100
5.2
Ronaldo 1.0/game
SGI concedes 5.2/game · league avg 4.1
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
79
Try Assistsfavorable
69
3.9
Ronaldo 0.3/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.3
99
Line Breaksfavorable
81
6.1
Ronaldo 1.3/game
SGI concedes 6.1/game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.4
94
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Ronaldo 1.4/game
SGI concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.8
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
44.6
81
Post Contact Metresfavorable
88
601.3
Ronaldo 44.6/game
SGI concedes 601.3/game · league avg 545.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
Ronaldo149.4
88
SGI1925.5
100
Ronaldo 149.4/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1690.9
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Ronaldo2.6
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Line Breaks
6.1per game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Line Breaks
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else1.1(122)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Line Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(8)-0.1
Dry games1.1(114)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SGI · Line Breaks
Avg diff
+0.1
Avg diff %
+70%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31DOLHerbie Farnworth0.60-100%
07-31DOLThomas Flegler0.11+600%
07-31DOLJamayne Isaako0.90-100%
07-31DOLJack Bostock0.30-100%
07-31DOLSelwyn Cobbo1.13+163%
07-31DOLKodi Nikorima0.31+300%
07-31DOLHamiso Tabuai-Fidow0.60-100%
07-31DOLJeremy Marshall-King0.30-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Ronaldo's. Computed from this app's own records.