0.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.7 (7 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.9
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 34.8/game vs a 32.8 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.9 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
← the price your bookie is offering
Splits · 0.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Coreyvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
90.3
55
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
Corey 90.3/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
29
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Corey 0.7/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
30.6
85
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Corey 30.6/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
75
4.8
Corey 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Corey 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Corey 0.0/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Corey 0.0/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
28.9
55
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Corey 28.9/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Corey90.3
55
GLD1851.3
94
Corey 90.3/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Corey0.7
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Tackle Breaks
34.8per game · league avg 32.8
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At Cbus Super Stadium0.7(3)-0.1
Everywhere else0.7(104)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)0.6(8)-0.1
Dry games0.7(99)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
-14%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLGriffin Neame0.40-100%
08-06NQLKai O'Donnell0.20-100%
08-06NQLMurray Taulagi2.10-100%
08-06NQLJake Clifford2.03+54%
08-06NQLSoni Luke0.61+80%
08-06NQLHeilum Luki2.15+133%
08-06NQLZac Laybutt1.62+23%
08-06NQLReuben Cotter0.80-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Corey's. Computed from this app's own records.