3.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 3.4 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 2.9
+0.2 opponent leak — they concede 34.4/game vs a 32.7 league average
−0.5 at this ground — averages 2.7 there (35 gm)
vs them: averages 2.7 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Tackle Breaks
34.4per game · league avg 32.7
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At Suncorp Stadium2.7(35)-1.0
Everywhere else3.7(38)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(4)-0.2
Dry games3.2(69)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WAR · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
-0.0
Avg diff %
-12%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENNathan Cleary2.41-59%
08-07PENLiam Martin1.92+4%
08-07PENPaul Alamoti4.13-27%
08-07PENBrian To'o4.45+13%
08-07PENJaxen Edgar4.34-8%
08-07PENIsaiah Papali'i2.30-100%
08-07PENThomas Jenkins4.09+125%
08-07PENIsaah Yeo1.91-48%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Deine's. Computed from this app's own records.