5.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 5.4 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 5.3
−0.4 opponent leak — they concede 30.4/game vs a 32.8 league average
+0.2 at this ground — averages 5.6 there (45 gm)
vs them: averages 6.0 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ·opponent ▼venue ▲projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
DOL concede · Tackle Breaks
30.4per game · league avg 32.8
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At Suncorp Stadium5.6(45)+1.4
Everywhere else4.1(65)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)3.9(7)-0.9
Dry games4.8(103)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs DOL · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
+3%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31SGISetu Tu4.45+13%
07-19NQLBraidon Burns4.94-18%
07-05NEWDominic Young4.35+15%
07-05NEWGreg Marzhew4.85+4%
07-05NEWDane Gagai5.14-22%
06-27WARTaine Tuaupiki4.24-5%
05-21CBRKaeo Weekes5.92-66%
05-21CBRSavelio Tamale4.08+100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Reece's. Computed from this app's own records.