0.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.4 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.6
−0.0 opponent leak — they concede 3.3/game vs a 3.5 league average
vs them: averages 0.0 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Try Assists
3.3per game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Try Assists
At Ocean Protect Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else0.4(65)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Try Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(12)-0.2
Dry games0.5(53)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Try Assists
Avg diff
+0.1
Avg diff %
+73%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09SGITyrell Sloan0.10-100%
08-09SGILoko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga0.000%
08-09SGIMoses Suli0.30-100%
08-09SGIValentine Holmes0.40-100%
08-09SGILyhkan King-Togia0.11+700%
08-09SGIKyle Flanagan0.31+280%
08-09SGIClinton Gutherson0.30-100%
08-09SGIEmre Guler0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Ethan's. Computed from this app's own records.