1.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 1.3 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 1.8
−0.2 opponent leak — they concede 29.1/game vs a 32.8 league average
vs them: averages 0.0 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▼projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Tackle Breaks
29.1per game · league avg 32.8
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At Ocean Protect Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else0.9(35)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)0.7(7)-0.3
Dry games1.0(28)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
+1.3
Avg diff %
+43%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09SGILyhkan King-Togia0.10-100%
08-09SGIEmre Guler0.60-100%
08-09SGIValentine Holmes2.34+74%
08-09SGITyrell Sloan1.94+106%
08-09SGIKyle Flanagan0.40-100%
08-09SGILoko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga1.62+25%
08-09SGIClinton Gutherson1.56+292%
08-09SGIDylan Egan2.05+150%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Jed's. Computed from this app's own records.