0.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.2 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.3
−0.0 opponent leak — they concede 8.6/game vs a 9.7 league average
vs them: averages 0.0 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Offloads
8.6per game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Offloads
At Ocean Protect Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else0.2(35)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Offloads
Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(7)+0.1
Dry games0.1(28)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Offloads
Avg diff
+0.1
Avg diff %
-37%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09SGITyrell Sloan0.40-100%
08-09SGILoko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga0.10-100%
08-09SGIMoses Suli0.40-100%
08-09SGIValentine Holmes1.22+74%
08-09SGILyhkan King-Togia0.10-100%
08-09SGIKyle Flanagan0.10-100%
08-09SGIClinton Gutherson0.91+6%
08-09SGIEmre Guler0.41+125%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Jed's. Computed from this app's own records.