Only 3 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
0.7−0.8 vs your line
0.8 baseline — his last 5 games; only 3 this season, too few to blend
−0.1 opponent leak — they concede 30.6/game vs a 32.8 league average
vs them: averages 2.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Signalsopponent ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o1.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.6mm (63%)🌬 14.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Niwhaivs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
59.3
35
Run Metresneutral
100
1914.7
Niwhai 59.3/game
SGI concedes 1914.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.3
48
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.6
Niwhai 1.3/game
SGI concedes 30.6/game · league avg 32.8
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
28.3
81
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Niwhai 28.3/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.9
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
75
Triesfavorable
94
5.1
Niwhai 0.3/game
SGI concedes 5.1/game · league avg 4.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
82
Try Assistsfavorable
69
3.9
Niwhai 0.3/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
70
Line Breaksfavorable
75
6.0
Niwhai 0.3/game
SGI concedes 6.0/game · league avg 5.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
73
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Niwhai 0.7/game
SGI concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
13.7
26
Post Contact Metresneutral
88
598.3
Niwhai 13.7/game
SGI concedes 598.3/game · league avg 544.2
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Niwhai59.3
35
SGI1914.7
100
Niwhai 59.3/game
SGI concedes 1914.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Niwhai1.3
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Tackle Breaks
30.6per game · league avg 32.8
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else0.8(5)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games0.8(5)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SGI · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
-0.7
Avg diff %
-37%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09CROBraydon Trindall0.80-100%
08-09CROBlayke Brailey1.00-100%
08-09CROMawene Hiroti0.82+167%
08-09CRORonaldo Mulitalo2.51-59%
08-09CRONicho Hynes1.51-32%
08-09CROAddin Fonua-Blake2.61-62%
08-09CROJesse Ramien2.32-13%
08-09CROJesse Colquhoun0.90-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Niwhai's. Computed from this app's own records.