0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (5 gm) + 0.4 × last 5 0.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 4/game vs a 4.2 league average
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsMcDonald Jones Stadium · NewcastleRound 24 · 2026-08-16 14:00☁ 15.7°C☂ 0.9mm (77%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Adamvs all playersStatNEW concedePer game
5.8
2
Run Metresneutral
56
1722.7
Adam 5.8/game
NEW concedes 1722.7/game · league avg 1687.8
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
9
Tackle Breaksneutral
69
33.6
Adam 0.2/game
NEW concedes 33.6/game · league avg 32.7
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.2
2
Tacklesunfavorable
19
333.3
Adam 1.2/game
NEW concedes 333.3/game · league avg 344.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
38
4.0
Adam 0.0/game
NEW concedes 4.0/game · league avg 4.2
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
50
3.5
Adam 0.0/game
NEW concedes 3.5/game · league avg 3.5
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksunfavorable
38
4.5
Adam 0.0/game
NEW concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsneutral
63
10.2
Adam 0.0/game
NEW concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.7
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.0
3
Post Contact Metresneutral
63
559.8
Adam 2.0/game
NEW concedes 559.8/game · league avg 544.6
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Adam5.8
2
NEW1722.7
56
Adam 5.8/game
NEW concedes 1722.7/game · league avg 1687.8
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Adam0.2
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NEW concede · Tries
4.0per game · league avg 4.2
#9 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Tries
At McDonald Jones Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else0.0(5)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tries
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)
Dry games0.0(4)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NEW · Tries
Avg diff
-0.2
Avg diff %
-56%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01BRIDeine Mariner0.30-100%
08-01BRIAdam Reynolds0.20-100%
08-01BRIJosiah Karapani0.30-100%
08-01BRIKotoni Staggs0.50-100%
08-01BRIGrant Anderson0.20-100%
08-01BRIEzra Mam0.40-100%
08-01BRIReece Walsh0.41+150%
08-01BRIVa'a Semu0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Adam's. Computed from this app's own records.