0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (5 gm) + 0.4 × last 5 0.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 10.3/game vs a 9.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Adamvs all playersStatNQL concedePer game
5.8
2
Run Metresneutral
75
1785.8
Adam 5.8/game
NQL concedes 1785.8/game · league avg 1687.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
9
Tackle Breaksneutral
94
36.5
Adam 0.2/game
NQL concedes 36.5/game · league avg 32.7
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.2
2
Tacklesunfavorable
13
333.0
Adam 1.2/game
NQL concedes 333.0/game · league avg 344.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
81
4.8
Adam 0.0/game
NQL concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
88
4.1
Adam 0.0/game
NQL concedes 4.1/game · league avg 3.5
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
75
6.0
Adam 0.0/game
NQL concedes 6.0/game · league avg 5.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsneutral
75
10.3
Adam 0.0/game
NQL concedes 10.3/game · league avg 9.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.0
3
Post Contact Metresneutral
100
618.4
Adam 2.0/game
NQL concedes 618.4/game · league avg 544.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Adam5.8
2
NQL1785.8
75
Adam 5.8/game
NQL concedes 1785.8/game · league avg 1687.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Adam0.2
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Offloads
10.3per game · league avg 9.7
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Offloads
At Cbus Super Stadium0.0(1)
Everywhere else0.0(4)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Offloads
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)
Dry games0.0(4)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NQL · Offloads
Avg diff
-0.2
Avg diff %
-35%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDPhillip Sami0.61+67%
08-06GLDTino Fa'asuamaleaui0.91+13%
08-06GLDJojo Fifita0.71+38%
08-06GLDAJ Brimson0.40-100%
08-06GLDJayden Campbell0.80-100%
08-06GLDMoeaki Fotuaika0.30-100%
08-06GLDDean Ieremia0.000%
08-06GLDBeau Fermor0.80-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Adam's. Computed from this app's own records.