0.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.3 (4 gm) + 0.4 × last 4 0.3
−0.0 opponent leak — they concede 29.1/game vs a 32.8 league average
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.6mm (63%)🌬 14.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Kadevs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
22.8
12
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1511.1
Kade 22.8/game
CRO concedes 1511.1/game · league avg 1686.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
12
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
29.1
Kade 0.3/game
CRO concedes 29.1/game · league avg 32.8
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
7.0
25
Tacklesneutral
88
354.8
Kade 7.0/game
CRO concedes 354.8/game · league avg 344.9
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
19
3.7
Kade 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.2
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Kade 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksunfavorable
38
4.7
Kade 0.0/game
CRO concedes 4.7/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Kade 0.0/game
CRO concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.3
9
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
469.6
Kade 4.3/game
CRO concedes 469.6/game · league avg 544.2
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Kade22.8
12
CRO1511.1
0
Kade 22.8/game
CRO concedes 1511.1/game · league avg 1686.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Kade0.3
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Tackle Breaks
29.1per game · league avg 32.8
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else0.3(4)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games0.3(4)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CRO · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
+0.6
Avg diff %
+23%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09SGILoko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga1.62+25%
08-09SGIJacob Liddle0.60-100%
08-09SGILyhkan King-Togia0.10-100%
08-09SGIKyle Flanagan0.40-100%
08-09SGIEmre Guler0.60-100%
08-09SGIHamish Stewart1.12+90%
08-09SGIClinton Gutherson1.56+292%
08-09SGIJacob Halangahu0.41+175%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Kade's. Computed from this app's own records.