0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (6 gm) + 0.4 × last 7 0.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 4.8/game vs a 4.2 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsMcDonald Jones Stadium · NewcastleRound 24 · 2026-08-16 14:00☁ 15.7°C☂ 0.9mm (77%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Sebastianvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
5.5
2
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
Sebastian 5.5/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Sebastian 0.0/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.2
8
Tacklesunfavorable
38
340.0
Sebastian 3.2/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.7
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
75
4.8
Sebastian 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Sebastian 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Sebastian 0.0/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Sebastian 0.0/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.2
4
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Sebastian 2.2/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Sebastian5.5
2
GLD1851.3
94
Sebastian 5.5/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Sebastian0.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Tries
4.8per game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tries
At McDonald Jones Stadium0.0(1)
Everywhere else0.0(6)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tries
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(2)
Dry games0.0(5)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs GLD · Tries
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
-17%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLTom Chester0.40-100%
08-06NQLJaxon Purdue0.31+200%
08-06NQLBraidon Burns0.80-100%
08-06NQLZac Laybutt0.10-100%
08-06NQLMurray Taulagi0.70-100%
08-06NQLJake Clifford0.41+163%
08-06NQLScott Drinkwater0.40-100%
08-06NQLGriffin Neame0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Sebastian's. Computed from this app's own records.