0.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.4 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.6
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 4.1/game vs a 3.5 league average
+0.5 at this ground — averages 1 there (4 gm)
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 16: 3 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Zanevs all playersStatNQL concedePer game
48.2
26
Run Metresneutral
75
1785.8
Zane 48.2/game
NQL concedes 1785.8/game · league avg 1687.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
25
Tackle Breaksneutral
94
36.5
Zane 0.6/game
NQL concedes 36.5/game · league avg 32.7
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
17.2
53
Tacklesunfavorable
13
333.0
Zane 17.2/game
NQL concedes 333.0/game · league avg 344.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
81
4.8
Zane 0.0/game
NQL concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
85
Try Assistsfavorable
88
4.1
Zane 0.4/game
NQL concedes 4.1/game · league avg 3.5
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
32
Line Breaksneutral
75
6.0
Zane 0.1/game
NQL concedes 6.0/game · league avg 5.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
19
Offloadsneutral
75
10.3
Zane 0.1/game
NQL concedes 10.3/game · league avg 9.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
7.8
15
Post Contact Metresneutral
100
618.4
Zane 7.8/game
NQL concedes 618.4/game · league avg 544.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Zane48.2
26
NQL1785.8
75
Zane 48.2/game
NQL concedes 1785.8/game · league avg 1687.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Zane0.6
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Try Assists
4.1per game · league avg 3.5
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Try Assists
At Cbus Super Stadium1.0(4)+0.8
Everywhere else0.2(10)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Try Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(2)+0.7
Dry games0.3(12)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NQL · Try Assists
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
-52%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDAJ Brimson0.30-100%
08-06GLDMoeaki Fotuaika0.000%
08-06GLDDean Ieremia0.000%
08-06GLDJojo Fifita0.20-100%
08-06GLDPhillip Sami0.10-100%
08-06GLDJayden Campbell0.60-100%
08-06GLDKeano Kini0.61+82%
08-06GLDTino Fa'asuamaleaui0.20-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Zane's. Computed from this app's own records.