0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (4 gm) + 0.4 × last 4 0.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 2.6/game vs a 4.2 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ·projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 7.9°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 0.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Morganvs all playersStatPEN concedePer game
2.0
1
Run Metresunfavorable
25
1576.6
Morgan 2.0/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1686.6
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
25
31.4
Morgan 0.0/game
PEN concedes 31.4/game · league avg 32.8
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.0
2
Tacklesneutral
100
368.1
Morgan 1.0/game
PEN concedes 368.1/game · league avg 344.9
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
0
2.6
Morgan 0.0/game
PEN concedes 2.6/game · league avg 4.2
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
0
2.4
Morgan 0.0/game
PEN concedes 2.4/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksunfavorable
6
4.1
Morgan 0.0/game
PEN concedes 4.1/game · league avg 5.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsunfavorable
6
8.1
Morgan 0.0/game
PEN concedes 8.1/game · league avg 9.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.0
1
Post Contact Metresneutral
56
548.9
Morgan 1.0/game
PEN concedes 548.9/game · league avg 544.2
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Morgan2.0
1
PEN1576.6
25
Morgan 2.0/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1686.6
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Morgan0.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PEN concede · Tries
2.6per game · league avg 4.2
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tries
At Go Media Stadium0.0(3)
Everywhere else0.0(1)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tries
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games0.0(4)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PEN · Tries
Avg diff
-0.2
Avg diff %
-42%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07WARLeka Halasima0.40-100%
08-07WARJames Fisher-Harris0.10-100%
08-07WARDallin Watene-Zelezniak0.90-100%
08-07WARAli Leiataua0.20-100%
08-07WARAlofiana Khan-Pereira0.90-100%
08-07WARChanel Harris-Tavita0.31+217%
08-07WARCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad0.71+44%
08-07WARWayde Egan0.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Morgan's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry0.5