0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (21 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 4/game vs a 3.5 league average
−0.0 at this ground — averages 0 there (5 gm)
vs them: averages 0.0 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
← the price your bookie is offering
Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Heilumvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
105.0
65
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
Heilum 105.0/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.1
70
Tackle Breaksfavorable
88
34.8
Heilum 2.1/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
40.2
98
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Heilum 40.2/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.7
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
88
Triesfavorable
75
4.8
Heilum 0.5/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
38
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Heilum 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
88
Line Breaksfavorable
63
5.2
Heilum 0.6/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
15
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Heilum 0.0/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
38.6
72
Post Contact Metresfavorable
94
605.3
Heilum 38.6/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Heilum105.0
65
GLD1851.3
94
Heilum 105.0/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Heilum2.1
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Try Assists
4.0per game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Try Assists
At Cbus Super Stadium0.0(5)-0.1
Everywhere else0.1(73)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Try Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(3)-0.1
Dry games0.1(75)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs GLD · Try Assists
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
-47%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLTom Chester0.10-100%
08-06NQLJaxon Purdue0.51+110%
08-06NQLBraidon Burns0.10-100%
08-06NQLZac Laybutt0.10-100%
08-06NQLMurray Taulagi0.10-100%
08-06NQLJake Clifford0.70-100%
08-06NQLScott Drinkwater0.91+11%
08-06NQLGriffin Neame0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Heilum's. Computed from this app's own records.