0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.0
+0.0 at this ground — averages 0 there (8 gm)
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 25 · 2026-08-20 19:50☁ 14.9°C☂ 0mm (32%)🌬 13.2 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Mosesvs all playersStatPEN concedePer game
132.7
82
Run Metresunfavorable
25
1576.6
Moses 132.7/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1687.8
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.0
93
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
25
31.4
Moses 4.0/game
PEN concedes 31.4/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
6.4
24
Tacklesneutral
100
368.1
Moses 6.4/game
PEN concedes 368.1/game · league avg 344.7
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
97
Triesunfavorable
0
2.6
Moses 0.8/game
PEN concedes 2.6/game · league avg 4.2
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
51
Try Assistsunfavorable
0
2.4
Moses 0.1/game
PEN concedes 2.4/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.1
98
Line Breaksunfavorable
6
4.1
Moses 1.1/game
PEN concedes 4.1/game · league avg 5.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
38
Offloadsunfavorable
6
8.1
Moses 0.2/game
PEN concedes 8.1/game · league avg 9.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
34.6
64
Post Contact Metresneutral
50
548.9
Moses 34.6/game
PEN concedes 548.9/game · league avg 544.6
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Moses132.7
82
PEN1576.6
25
Moses 132.7/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1687.8
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Moses4.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PEN concede · Goals
0.0per game · league avg 0.0
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Goals
At AAMI Park0.0(8)
Everywhere else0.0(8)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Goals
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(2)
Dry games0.0(14)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PEN · Goals
Avg diff
0.0
Avg diff %
0%
Hit rate
0/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07WARLeka Halasima0.000%
08-07WARJames Fisher-Harris0.000%
08-07WARDallin Watene-Zelezniak0.000%
08-07WARAli Leiataua0.000%
08-07WARAlofiana Khan-Pereira0.000%
08-07WARChanel Harris-Tavita0.000%
08-07WARCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad0.000%
08-07WARWayde Egan0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Moses's. Computed from this app's own records.