• 0.0 baseline — his last 10 games; only 2 this season, too few to blend
• +0.0 opponent leak — they concede 29.3/game vs a 35.3 league average
• +0.0 at this ground — averages 0 there (4 gm)

Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.