0.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.5 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.4
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 10.4/game vs a 9.4 league average
vs them: averages 0.0 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 21: 2 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Goal Assists
10.4per game · league avg 9.4
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Goal Assists
At Gabba—(0)
Everywhere else0.2(77)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Goal Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(6)+0.1
Dry games0.2(71)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs BRI · Goal Assists
Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
+14%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01CARAdam Cerra1.22+67%
08-01CARTalor Byrne1.53+100%
08-01CARGeorge Hewett1.21-17%
08-01CARBen Ainsworth1.51-33%
08-01CARBilly Wilson1.010%
08-01CARBlake Acres1.010%
08-01CARFrancis Evans1.31-23%
08-01CARMatthew Cottrell1.72+20%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Josh's. Computed from this app's own records.