Matt Hill — AFL props & hit rates

Matt Hill

Hawthorn · vs COL

1.5 GLO —U —

Hit rate

50% (1/2)

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Avg

1.0

L10

1.0

High

Only 2 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.

Line Over Under

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Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Mattvs all playersStatCOL concedePer game

6.5Disposalsneutral386.2

2.5Kicksneutral225.5

0.0Marksneutral104.0

1.0Tacklesunfavorable50.3

1.0Clearancesneutral36.6

2.0Inside 50sneutral55.4

3.5Contested Poss.neutral129.0

1.0Goalsunfavorable11.7

Disposalsneutral

Matt6.5

COL386.2

Kicksneutral

Matt2.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Goals

11.7per game · league avg 12.8

#15 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Goals

At M.C.G.2.0(1)+2.0

Everywhere else0.0(1)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(1)+2.0

Dry games0.0(1)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.

Similar players vs COL · Goals

Avg diff

-0.3

Avg diff %

-20%

Hit rate

2/8

beat their own average

DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff

07-30GEEJack Martin1.71-40%

07-30GEEJay Polkinghorne2.33+29%

07-30GEEOliver Dempsey1.82+8%

07-30GEEShaun Mannagh2.01-50%

07-30GEEGryan Miers2.01-50%

07-30GEEShannon Neale2.42-16%

07-30GEEMark Blicavs1.010%

07-30GEEOliver Wiltshire1.61-38%

Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Matt's. Computed from this app's own records.

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

COL concede · Goals

Venue split · Goals

Wet vs dry · Goals

Similar players vs COL · Goals