Only 3 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o2.5
Game conditionsKardinia Park · GeelongRound 22 · 2026-08-08 16:35☁ 14.1°C☂ 0.2mm (31%)🌬 13 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jayvs all playersStatESS concedePer game
10.0
16
Disposalsneutral
100
399.5
Jay 10.0/game
ESS concedes 399.5/game · league avg 369.0
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
7.7
41
Kicksneutral
100
233.1
Jay 7.7/game
ESS concedes 233.1/game · league avg 213.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
6.0
90
Marksfavorable
100
117.8
Jay 6.0/game
ESS concedes 117.8/game · league avg 93.4
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.7
2
Tacklesunfavorable
12
50.6
Jay 0.7/game
ESS concedes 50.6/game · league avg 56.6
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Clearancesunfavorable
18
33.9
Jay 0.0/game
ESS concedes 33.9/game · league avg 35.7
#14 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.3
60
Inside 50sneutral
94
55.9
Jay 2.3/game
ESS concedes 55.9/game · league avg 52.9
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.0
1
Contested Poss.unfavorable
6
121.9
Jay 2.0/game
ESS concedes 121.9/game · league avg 128.7
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.3
99
Goalsfavorable
100
15.6
Jay 2.3/game
ESS concedes 15.6/game · league avg 12.8
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsneutral
Jay10.0
16
ESS399.5
100
Jay 10.0/game
ESS concedes 399.5/game · league avg 369.0
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksneutral
Jay7.7
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
ESS concede · Goals
15.6per game · league avg 12.8
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Goals
At Kardinia Park2.0(1)-0.5
Everywhere else2.5(2)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Goals
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games2.3(3)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs ESS · Goals
Avg diff
+0.8
Avg diff %
+45%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02ADEArchie Ludowyke1.010%
08-02ADEOscar Ryan1.010%
08-02ADEHugo Hall-Kahan1.010%
08-02ADEBen Keays1.83+67%
08-02ADEJosh Rachele1.92+6%
08-02ADEIzak Rankine1.33+129%
08-02ADEBilly Dowling3.030%
08-02ADERiley Thilthorpe1.95+159%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Jay's. Computed from this app's own records.