7.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 7.5 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 7.9
−0.2 opponent leak — they concede 207.8/game vs a 213.6 league average
+2.0 at this ground — averages 9.6 there (17 gm)
vs them: averages 14.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CAR concede · Kicks
207.8per game · league avg 213.6
#14 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Kicks
At Docklands9.6(17)+2.0
Everywhere else7.7(15)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Kicks
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games8.7(32)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CAR · Kicks
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
-1%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01BRILogan Morris8.95-44%
08-01BRIEric Hipwood7.411+48%
08-01BRISam Draper8.28-2%
08-01BRIKai Lohmann7.67-8%
08-01BRIDarcy Fort6.86-12%
08-01BRICam Rayner9.012+34%
08-01BRIOscar Allen6.85-26%
07-25GCSBeau Addinsall6.97+2%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Sam's. Computed from this app's own records.